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Sectors poised for growth under Trump’s administration
Roger Montgomery
November 11, 2024
One of the most frequently asked questions by investors following Trump’s election victory is: what sectors will do well? While much remains unknowable about Trump’s second term, his “promises made, promises kept” statement during his victory speech suggests not all is a mystery. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Are we following Buffett’s lead towards a market crash?
Roger Montgomery
November 19, 2024
Every day, I am met with articles quoting commentators telling me that the market is high and, therefore, on the precipice of a correction. Let’s get one thing straight – markets don’t fall just because they are high. They can stay high and continue upwards for a long time. It is also a mistake to believe that a catalyst is required to cause the market to crash. Investors, to this day, debate the trigger for the 1987 crash. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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The Trump effect on small cap stocks
Roger Montgomery
November 12, 2024
Since 2022, we have predicted that small cap stocks, especially those representing innovative businesses with pricing power, would do well in an environment of disinflation and positive economic growth. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Small Caps.
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The character of a President
Roger Montgomery
November 6, 2024
As the world watches the U.S. vote, it turns the page on a new and arguably uncertain chapter. I have just read a startling essay about Donald Trump’s character. One marvels at Americans’ willingness to vote for such a person as President. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular.
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Ingenia Communities – accessing retirement as an investment strategy
Michael Gollagher
October 21, 2024
There comes a point in our lives where we are exposed to the thought or process of retiring. It could come one day when we open our annual superannuation statement. Or it could come when a parent or workplace mentor announces their intentions to hang up the tools and move into the next phase of life… Continue…
by Michael Gollagher Posted in Companies, Property, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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My parents are cash-strapped, so why don’t they sell their house?
Roger Montgomery
October 9, 2024
The question, ‘my parents are cash-strapped, so why don’t they sell their house?’ is a familiar topic of discussion among us, Gen X’ers, aged between 43 and 59 in 2024.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Property.
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Is Big Australia a big mistake or a big lie?
Roger Montgomery
December 19, 2024
Why do we have a housing crisis? We’re told it’s because there isn’t enough housing, so the price to purchase or rent is too high for young people. There’s no denying the truth of those two answers. One might, however, choose to dig a little deeper: Why do we not have enough houses in Australia, and why are prices so high? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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Buffett screams sell! Not so fast.
Roger Montgomery
November 21, 2024
“Buffett screams sell!” “Buffett sounds alarm!” They were the headlines that greeted me recently, about Oracle of Omaha, when I opened my news app to read up on what others thought about the rally in markets since 2022 – a rally that anyone following would know we frequently and repeatedly explained would transpire, and a rally that has accelerated following the election of Donald Trump as the next U.S. President. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Economics.
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Keep a close eye on the New Zealand economy
David Buckland
October 11, 2024
Over 11,000 Australian companies entered administration in the 2023/ 24 financial year. The bad news continued with a further 3,300 insolvencies in the September 2024 quarter. This is around four times the quarterly average since the business insolvency data was collated (from 1999). However, when we consider the total number of companies registered with the ASIC, the data doesn’t look that bad.
by David Buckland Posted in Economics.
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Only the supermarkets (and maybe the mafia) act this way
Roger Montgomery
October 15, 2024
Warren Buffett once said: “We look for three things when we hire people. We look for intelligence, we look for initiative and we look for integrity. And if they don’t have the latter, the first two will kill you.” Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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